Featured Publications
Pakistan Report: Comprehensive U.S. Policy Needed
Afghanistan Report: A Ten-Year Framework for the Future
Council Highlights
Chuck Hagel Delivers Keynote Speech for Angela Merkel
Atlantic Council chairman and former Senator Chuck Hagel will deliver the keynote speech at a ceremony in the Library of Congress for German Chancellor Angela Merkel, who will receive the Eric M. Warburg Award from Atlantik-Brücke.
The Key to Kiev
Atlantic Council senior fellow Adrian Karatnycky and Rutgers University Political Science Professor Alexander J. Motyl, a contributor to the Council's New Atlanticist blog, co-authored an essay entitled "The Key to Kiev: Ukraine's Security Means Europe's Stability" in the May-June edition of Foreign Affairs.
What To Do About North Korea
Shuja Nawaz, director of the Atlantic Council's South Asia Center, commented on North Korea's recent nuclear tests as part of a discussion for PRI's The World.
FEATURED ISSUE
Obama Should Reach Out to Muslim Youth
As President Barack Obama prepares to address the Muslim World from Cairo on Thursday this week, he would do well not to dwell on the past but to look to the future. His speech should be the first salvo in a battle to meet the expectations of a world dominated by youth. He should not revive memories of past conflicts.
DONATE REGISTER
NIC Chairman Thomas Fingar Presents "Global Trends 2025"
November 20, 2008
Dr. Thomas Fingar, the Chairman of the National Intelligence Council (NIC), discussed the new report "Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World." The report analyzes the global situation 15 to 20 years in the future, touching on international security, political and social trends, globalization, and other transnational issues. Fingar's speech was the latest in the Atlantic Council's Global Intelligence Series.
Fingar said the purpose of the report was not to make concrete predictions, but rather to stimulate strategic thinking about how trends will evolve in the future. He stressed the importance of leadership, which is perhaps the most influential driver of future events and global interactions. Demography, Fingar said, is one of the more certain aspects about 2025. By that year, the world will have 1.4 billion more people, only 3 percent of whom will be from the West. Thus, Asia and the Middle East will be younger, while Europe, Japan, and even China manage aging populations.
Another major focus of Fingar's comments was the future of the international institutions established after World War II like the UN and IMF. He said that several of these institutions need to be reformed in order to effectively manage world crises and political relations, but many developing countries are unwilling or unable to take on a greater burden. Lastly, Fingar talked about terrorism in 2025, stating that the threat will probably be smaller in magnitude but more lethal in capability.
For further analysis of Fingar's discussion and the 2025 report, see "Predicting the Future is Hard - And Necessary" and "U.S. Dominance Ending" at the Council's blog.
Watch Video:
C-SPAN (52 minutes)
Read Transcript
Participants:
- Dr. Thomas Fingar – Chairman, National Intelligence Council
- Frederick Kempe – President and CEO, Atlantic Council
Related Event:
Related Commentary on New Atlanticist Blog:
- Predicting the Future is Hard - And Necessary – James Joyner
- U.S. Dominance Ending – James Joyner
- Terrorism Here Today, Gone Tomorrow? – James Joyner
- Asia's Ascendency Seen in Intelligence Forecast – Joseph Snyder
- Climate Change Will be More Severe in 2025 –Erica McCarthy
- Economic Rise of the East – James O'Connor
Media Coverage:
- By 2025, Analysts Say U.S. Won't Be World Power – Tom Gjelten, NPR "Morning Edition"
- NIC Chairman Thomas Fingar Presents "Global Trends 2025" – Baltische Rundschau (Lithuania)
Trackback URL for this post:
Most Popular Events
FEATURED EVENT
Admiral Timothy Keating: Asia-Pacific Security Challenges
Admiral Timothy Keating, Commander of U.S. Pacific Command, joined the Atlantic Council to discuss current security challenges in the Pacific, including North Korea’s recent nuclear tests and missile launches, practices to ensure peace and stability in a region of emerging powers and obstacles to maritime security.
General Jehangir Karamat: Challenges Facing the Pakistan Army
General Jehangir Karamat, former Chairman of Pakistan's Joint Chiefs of Staff from 1997 to 1998, joined the Atlantic Council's South Asia Center for a discussion on the challenges facing Pakistan's army.
France’s Normalization with NATO
The Atlantic Council's International Security Program hosted a panel discussion on France’s normalization of relations with NATO. The session explored the challenges facing France, NATO and the U.S. in achieving a successful, lasting partnership between France and a renovated NATO alliance.
FEATURED INTERVIEW
5 Questions for Henrik Liljegren
Henrik Liljegren, an Atlantic Council board member, served 42 years in Sweden’s diplomatic corps, including stints at Ambassador to the United States, Turkey, East Germany, and Belgium. I had the opportunity to get his thoughts on some key issues of interest to our community.
